Analysis

AI as a Coworker: What It Can and Can't Do

Imagine you hire someone. They have a PhD-level grasp of every subject you can test them on. They type 100x faster than anyone in the office. They never sleep, never take vacation, and they cost almost nothing. Sounds perfect. Then they start working.

March 2026

Coming soon

Economics

Ghost GDP

Where does $15 trillion of AI growth actually come from? I went and read the methodology sections.
Governance

Can Institutions Function During the AI Transition?

Governance capacity is the meta-risk. If institutions fail, no policy intervention can be implemented.
Scenario

Thirteen Barriers to AI Replacing Knowledge Work

The things that might slow it down. Evaluated one by one.
Displacement

Industry Data on AI Job Displacement

Graphic design, illustration, writing, translation. What the numbers actually show.